Oil prices slide ahead of Trump TV address that may see war curtailed in 2-3 weeks

Oil prices have declined in anticipation of a televised address by former President Trump, which is expected to discuss potential de-escalation of ongoing conflicts within the next few weeks. This sentiment shift reflects a change in risk appetite among investors, as expectations of reduced geopolitical tensions can lead to lower demand for safe-haven assets and a potential oversupply in oil markets. The most exposed assets include crude oil futures, which are sensitive to changes in geopolitical risk and supply dynamics. Traders will be particularly attentive to the address for any concrete commitments or timelines regarding conflict resolution, as this could significantly influence market sentiment and pricing in the energy sector.

Crude oil (WTI/Brent) reacts in real time to OPEC+ production decisions, EIA weekly inventory reports, geopolitical supply disruptions (Middle East, Russia, Venezuela) and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve announcements. A 5% intraday move on breaking news is not unusual.

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