Oil prices plunge 15%, stock futures rally after Trump floats two-week Iran war ceasefire

Oil prices fell sharply by 15% following former President Trump's suggestion of a two-week ceasefire in the ongoing conflict with Iran. This development is likely to impact the market through a reduction in geopolitical risk, which typically influences oil supply concerns and price volatility. Energy markets, particularly crude oil futures, are most exposed to these shifts as traders reassess supply dynamics amid potential de-escalation. Additionally, U.S. stock futures experienced a rally, reflecting increased risk appetite among investors as tensions ease. Traders will be closely watching for any official announcements or developments regarding the ceasefire that could further influence market sentiment.

Crude oil (WTI/Brent) reacts in real time to OPEC+ production decisions, EIA weekly inventory reports, geopolitical supply disruptions (Middle East, Russia, Venezuela) and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve announcements. A 5% intraday move on breaking news is not unusual.

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