ADB warns Asia growth to slow sharply if Middle East disruptions persist

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) warned that prolonged Middle East disruptions could significantly dampen Asia's economic growth, citing risks to energy supplies and trade routes. The primary transmission channel is elevated oil prices and shipping costs, which would widen current account deficits and pressure central banks to maintain restrictive monetary policies. This scenario particularly threatens emerging Asian currencies and equity markets reliant on imported energy and stable external trade, such as India, Indonesia, and South Korea. Traders are now focused on the next OPEC+ meeting and any escalation in regional tensions that could disrupt oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

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