South Korea holds rates steady as Iran war fans inflation, growth risks

South Korea’s central bank held interest rates steady amid rising inflation and growth concerns fueled by escalating tensions in Iran. The geopolitical uncertainty has tightened global oil supply expectations, lifting energy prices and amplifying inflationary pressures, which are transmitted through higher import costs and reduced manufacturing competitiveness. This risk-off environment is weighing on South Korean exports and capital flows, particularly affecting equities and the won, both sensitive to external shocks and global risk appetite. The Bank of Korea may remain cautious on future rate moves until the external outlook stabilizes. Traders will watch the upcoming U.S. CPI data and OPEC+ supply decisions for signals on inflation persistence and energy market stability.

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