US inflation soars in March as war on Iran drives economy into uncertainty

U.S. inflation surged in March amid escalating geopolitical tensions following military conflict involving Iran, contributing to heightened economic uncertainty. The spike in inflation is being driven by sharp increases in energy prices and supply chain disruptions, with oil futures jumping on concerns over potential Iranian production outages or Strait of Hormuz instability—key transmission channels for global oil supply. This has led to repricing in Treasury yields and inflation-linked bonds, while equities, particularly in energy and defense sectors, see increased volatility and capital flows. Markets are now focused on the upcoming CPI report and any further developments in Middle East hostilities, which could trigger additional risk-off moves and safe-haven demand.

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