Japanese equities have shown resilience amid Middle East tensions due to their relatively low exposure to direct regional supply chain disruptions and energy import dependency compared to other developed markets. The yen's status as a funding currency in carry trades has been tempered by the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, limiting sharp yen spikes that typically accompany risk-off moves, thereby supporting equity valuations. Additionally, domestic demand and policy-driven fiscal stimulus have bolstered Japan’s market fundamentals, insulating it somewhat from external geopolitical shocks. Equity outperformance is most evident in export-heavy sectors like automotive and industrial machinery, where pricing power and diversified global production networks mitigate regional volatility. Traders will watch the upcoming Tankan survey and BOJ policy meeting minutes for signals on whether accommodative policy will persist amid shifting global risk premiums.
Why are Japanese equities so resilient despite the Middle East war?
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