Trump says Iran wants deal as Hormuz blockade officially begins

Trump's statement that Iran seeks a deal coincides with the official start of a blockade at the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments. The market transmission mechanism centers on supply disruption risk, as any sustained closure would significantly constrain crude oil flows, particularly from the Persian Gulf producers. This has immediate implications for oil-sensitive assets, including energy equities, Middle East-focused ETFs, and shipping rates, while boosting safe-haven demand for assets like gold and U.S. Treasuries. Geopolitical risk premia are being repriced in crude futures, with Brent and WTI seeing elevated volatility. Traders will watch the next EIA weekly inventory report and any statements from major oil producers via OPEC+ channels for signs of coordinated supply response.

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