UK February monthly GDP +0.5% vs +0.1% m/m expected

The UK's February monthly GDP rose 0.5% month-on-month, significantly surpassing the expected 0.1% gain, signaling stronger-than-anticipated economic momentum. The beat is largely attributed to a rebound in services activity and resilient consumer demand, supporting the Bank of England’s cautious stance on near-term rate cuts. This outcome reinforces the pound’s appeal amid improved growth dynamics, tightening UK-US rate differentials as markets reassess the timing of BoE easing. The data increases the likelihood that the BoE will delay rate cuts beyond June, keeping the door open for a June hold if inflation pressures re-emerge. Traders will focus on the March CPI release on April 17 for confirmation of persistent price pressures.

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