Explainer-What’s in the Lebanon ceasefire deal and will it hold?

The Lebanon ceasefire deal involves a 60-day truce between Israel and Hezbollah, with both sides agreeing to withdraw forces from border areas and allow Lebanese military deployment in the south, while Israel retains the right to respond if attacked. The agreement reduces immediate regional escalation risks, supporting global risk appetite and easing pressure on oil supply disruption premiums that had built amid fears of wider conflict. Markets are assessing the durability of the truce, with defense stocks and Middle East-focused energy equities most sensitive to shifts in conflict intensity. A key catalyst to watch is the implementation of the withdrawal timelines and whether UNIFIL verifies compliance within the first two weeks of the ceasefire.

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