San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly stated it is too early to determine whether the ongoing conflict will lead to persistent global economic disruptions. The market transmission mechanism hinges on potential supply chain bottlenecks, energy price volatility, and shifts in inflation expectations, which could influence the Fed’s policy path through the inflation and growth outlook. Equities, Treasury yields, and oil markets are particularly exposed, as renewed risk-off sentiment may drive capital into safe-haven assets while boosting crude prices due to Middle East supply concerns. Traders will closely watch the next CPI release and any updates on shipping disruptions through key chokepoints like the Red Sea.
Fed's Daly Says Too Early to Tell If War Will Create Long-Term Shock
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