IRAN'S TASNIM: IF THE U.S. INSISTS ON KEEPING THE THREAT OF WAR, IT SHOULD REGARD THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AS EFFECTIVELY FULLY SHUT.

Iran's Tasnim news agency issued a warning that the Strait of Hormuz could be effectively closed if the U.S. maintains its threat of military action, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. This threat directly impacts global energy markets through the risk of supply disruption, as the Strait of Hormuz handles approximately 20% of global oil exports. Energy equities, Middle Eastern assets, and oil prices are particularly exposed due to their sensitivity to regional instability and shipping constraints. Traders will closely watch U.S. Central Command statements and any changes in naval deployments in the Persian Gulf as near-term indicators of escalation risk. Any actual disruption to tanker traffic would trigger immediate repricing in crude futures and shipping insurance premiums.

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