Oil dips, stocks rise amid hopes for US-Iran talks before ceasefire deadline

Oil prices declined amid rising expectations of renewed diplomatic talks between the U.S. and Iran ahead of an upcoming regional ceasefire deadline, easing concerns over potential supply disruptions in the Persian Gulf. The improved risk sentiment from de-escalation hopes boosted global equities, particularly energy-sensitive and emerging market stocks, as investors repriced near-term geopolitical risk premiums. Reduced tensions lower the immediate threat of Iranian retaliation affecting tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a key channel for global oil supply, thereby weighing on crude futures. Markets are now focused on the outcome of indirect negotiations mediated by regional intermediaries, with any confirmation of direct talks likely to further dampen oil risk premia. Traders await Friday’s U.S. PPI data as a gauge of persistent inflation pressures that could still influence broader equity valuations despite the geopolitical relief.

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