OIL FUTURES EXTEND GAINS, BRENT CRUDE PRICES UP $4 A BARREL AFTER IRAN HAS YET TO DECIDE ON WHETHER TO ATTEND TALKS WITH U.S. AS CEASEFIRE DEADLINE TICKS DOWN

Oil futures extended gains, with Brent crude rising $4 per barrel, as geopolitical tensions flared amid uncertainty over Iran's participation in upcoming U.S. talks ahead of a looming ceasefire deadline. The price move reflects heightened risk premiums in crude markets due to potential supply disruptions and escalation risks in the Middle East, a key transmission channel for oil volatility. Brent crude is particularly exposed given its pricing link to global supply shocks and regional instability, while Iranian asset sentiment remains fragile on diplomatic uncertainty. Traders are focused on the outcome of the ceasefire negotiations and any official confirmation of direct U.S.-Iran talks, which could rapidly alter the risk calculus. The next key catalyst will be the expiration of the ceasefire deadline and any statements from OPEC+ on production adjustments in response to price volatility.

Brent crude is the international oil benchmark, priced in the North Sea. Unlike WTI it reflects global supply/demand — Middle East geopolitics, OPEC+ cuts, Russian export sanctions, and Asian refinery demand all drive Brent intraday.

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