PAKISTAN'S INFORMATION MINISTER SAYS CEASEFIRE ENDS AT 4:50 AM PST. IRAN'S DECISION TO JOIN TALKS BEFORE THE CEASEFIRE ENDS IN TWO WEEKS IS IMPORTANT.

Pakistan’s information minister announced a ceasefire effective at 4:50 AM PST, marking a temporary de-escalation in regional tensions involving Iran. Iran’s decision to join diplomatic talks prior to the ceasefire’s expiration introduces a potential shift in regional risk dynamics, affecting market sentiment toward Middle East energy supply security. The development influences geopolitical risk premiums in oil markets and may affect capital flows into emerging markets with regional exposure, particularly those linked to South Asian and Persian Gulf trade corridors. Escalation risks remain elevated given the two-week timeframe, with traders monitoring communication between Tehran and Islamabad for signs of further de-escalation or breakdown. The next key catalyst will be the outcome of the initial round of talks, expected within the week, which could either stabilize regional asset valuations or trigger renewed risk-off behavior.

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