Record surge in gasoline receipts boosts retail sales in March

U.S. retail sales rose sharply in March, driven by a record increase in gasoline station receipts amid higher fuel prices and strong consumer spending. The surge reflects elevated energy inflation and robust demand at the pump, which inflated nominal sales figures even as volume growth may have been muted. This boosts near-term inflation readings and reinforces expectations for sticky core PCE, potentially limiting the Federal Reserve’s near-term rate-cut flexibility. Retail-sensitive equities and Treasury yields are most exposed, as the data delays bets on imminent monetary easing. Traders will watch the April CPI release on May 15 for confirmation of whether broader price pressures are moderating.

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