*US-IRAN DIPLOMATIC PROCESS IS PAUSED WITHOUT IRAN RESPONSE: NYT *VANCE TRIP TO PAKISTAN HAS NOT BEEN CANCLED: NYT *VANCE TRIP ON HOLD AS IRAN DIDN'T RESPOND TO US POSITIONS: NYT

The New York Times reported that the U.S.-Iran diplomatic process has stalled due to Iran's lack of response to U.S. positions, pausing any near-term de-escalation prospects. This diplomatic freeze affects risk appetite and geopolitical risk pricing, particularly impacting frontier and emerging markets with regional exposure such as Pakistan, which is sensitive to shifts in Middle East and South Asian stability. The hold on Deputy National Security Advisor Vance’s planned trip to Pakistan underscores reduced diplomatic momentum, potentially delaying economic or security assurances that could influence capital flows or aid disbursements. Markets are now focused on any signal of renewed engagement from Iranian officials or a formal statement from the U.S. State Department clarifying the status of indirect talks. The next key catalyst will be Iran’s response—expected within the coming week—or the U.S. administration’s decision on whether to adjust sanctions or pursue alternative diplomatic channels.

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