Following Taiwan’s postponed presidential visit to Eswatini, China’s Taiwan Affairs Office says the One-China principle is the established norm and general consensus of the international community.

Taiwan’s postponed presidential visit to Eswatini has intensified diplomatic tensions, with China’s Taiwan Affairs Office reiterating that the One-China principle remains the international consensus. The diplomatic friction reinforces expectations of continued geopolitical risk premium in cross-strait relations, affecting investor sentiment toward Taiwan-exposed assets and Chinese foreign policy-sensitive equities. Market exposure is concentrated in Taiwanese semiconductor and technology firms with global supply chain linkages, as well as Chinese state-influenced sectors where geopolitical tensions could trigger regulatory or capital flow responses. The upcoming release of China’s monthly economic indicators, particularly trade data with ASEAN and African partners, will be scrutinized for signs of diplomatic leverage affecting economic cooperation. Any shift in official rhetoric ahead of Taiwan’s 2024 elections may prompt renewed volatility in Asia-Pacific equity and currency markets.

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