Iran has not confirmed its participation in the upcoming round of talks with the U.S., introducing uncertainty around diplomatic progress. This hesitation affects market sentiment through the geopolitical risk channel, particularly impacting oil markets and regional stability premiums. Assets most exposed include Middle East-focused energy equities, crude oil futures, and emerging market debt with regional exposure, as renewed tensions could disrupt supply or trigger sanctions reprisals. Traders will watch for official statements from Tehran or the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on nuclear program activities as a near-term catalyst for risk reassessment.
IRAN HESITATES ON NEXT ROUND OF US TALKS Iran says it has not yet decided whether to join a new round of talks with the U.S. later this week.
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