IRAN'S MAIN NEGOTIATOR QALIBAF STATES A FULL CEASEFIRE IS LOGICAL ONLY IF THERE ARE NO VIOLATIONS FROM THE MARITIME BLOCKADE AND 'HOSTAGE-TAKING OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY.'

Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, Qalibaf, linked the prospect of a full ceasefire to the lifting of maritime blockades and what he termed the "hostage-taking of the global economy," signaling continued geopolitical friction over sanctions and energy supply routes. The comments introduce renewed risk premium concerns in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments, potentially tightening energy market sentiment. This escalation threat directly impacts Middle East risk pricing, with Brent crude futures and shipping insurance rates in the region most exposed to any supply disruption. Heightened rhetoric increases the likelihood of asymmetric naval incidents, which could trigger short-term spikes in oil volatility and safe-haven demand for gold and the yen. Traders will watch for any follow-up statements from Iranian military or energy officials, as well as U.S. Central Command updates on Gulf maritime activity, for signs of de-escalation or further posturing.

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