Iran war latest: Trump’s ceasefire reversal and tensions simmer with China-SCMP

The report highlights heightened geopolitical tensions following former President Trump's reversal on supporting a ceasefire, contributing to renewed instability in the Middle East. This shift amplifies risk premiums in energy markets and boosts demand for safe-haven assets, driven by concerns over potential supply disruptions from Iran’s role as a key oil producer. Simultaneously, escalating tensions between Iran and China—amplified by Beijing’s strategic energy interests and regional alliances—are affecting investor sentiment toward emerging market equities and Chinese sovereign debt. The interplay of U.S. political rhetoric and Sino-Iranian dynamics is intensifying capital flow volatility, particularly impacting Asian and Middle Eastern bond markets. Traders will watch the next OPEC+ meeting and U.S. Treasury outflows to emerging markets as key indicators of financial stress.

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