The IRGC emphasizes staying alert in what it calls a “silent battlefield” and tracking enemy moves during the “so-called ceasefire,” according to Mehr.

The IRGC's statement underscores ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, highlighting concerns over covert threats despite a nominal ceasefire. This rhetoric sustains war risk premia in regional energy markets, particularly affecting oil and natural gas prices through the supply disruption channel. Maritime security and infrastructure remain vulnerable, keeping shipping insurance rates and defense-sector equities elevated. Traders are closely watching vessel tracking data and naval deployments in the Strait of Hormuz as immediate indicators of potential escalation. The next key catalyst will be any reported incident involving commercial shipping or energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf.

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