Trump extends Iran war ceasefire as Strait shutdown drags on

The reported extension of a ceasefire in the Iran war by former President Trump comes amid an ongoing shutdown of a critical Strait, likely the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting energy and trade flows. The prolonged closure continues to tighten global oil supply, supporting higher crude prices and elevating risk premiums in Middle East-focused energy and shipping markets. Geopolitical uncertainty persists, affecting risk appetite for emerging markets with regional exposure and boosting demand for safe-haven assets. Iranian assets, including its currency and equity markets, remain highly vulnerable to shifts in conflict dynamics and sanctions enforcement. Traders will watch for the next U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) crude inventory report to assess the extent of supply disruptions and their impact on global oil balances.

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