US-Iran war live updates: Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz; Trump awaits unified proposal from Islamic Republic after ceasefire extension

Iran's seizure of two ships in the Strait of Hormuz has heightened tensions in the Middle East, escalating risks to global energy supply routes and triggering a spike in regional risk premia. The incident directly impacts shipping lanes responsible for nearly 20% of global oil traffic, tightening tanker availability and increasing war risk insurance premiums for vessels transiting the Strait. Energy markets, particularly Brent crude and Middle Eastern-focused LNG contracts, are most exposed due to supply disruption fears, while regional equity markets with port or energy exposure face downward pressure. Traders are awaiting the outcome of diplomatic channels and any formal proposal from Iran to the Trump administration, with a potential breakthrough or further escalation likely to pivot on the next official statement from Tehran or U.S. Central Command.

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