GOLD HEADS FOR A WEEKLY LOSS AS RISING TENSIONS BETWEEN UNITED STATES AND IRAN DRIVE INFLATION CONCERNS THROUGH DISRUPTIONS IN THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ HIGHER OIL-DRIVEN INFLATION EXPECTATIONS REDUCE APPEAL OF BULLION…

Gold is on track for a weekly loss as escalating tensions between the United States and Iran raise concerns over potential disruptions to oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. The heightened risk of supply disruptions has driven oil prices higher, lifting inflation expectations, which typically support gold; however, stronger real yields and a firmer U.S. dollar are outweighing this traditional inflation hedge appeal. The market is pricing in tighter energy supply dynamics, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining a critical chokepoint for global crude flows, amplifying volatility in energy and precious metals markets. Investors are now focused on upcoming U.S. CPI data and any further developments in U.S.-Iran diplomatic or military posturing, which could recalibrate inflation and rate outlooks.

Gold (XAU/USD) is a safe-haven asset and inflation hedge. Major drivers include Fed policy (real yields), central bank buying (PBOC, RBI), ETF flows, and geopolitical risk. Gold often moves inversely to DXY and real US yields.

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