Japan core inflation accelerates after five months as Iran war pushes energy prices higher

Japan's core consumer price index rose in the latest reading, marking the first acceleration in five months, driven partly by higher energy costs linked to escalating tensions involving Iran. The surge in energy prices has widened the import cost burden, contributing to inflationary pressures in an economy historically cautious about sustained price growth. This development affects the yen and Japanese government bond yields, as markets reassess the Bank of Japan’s potential policy trajectory amid external inflation shocks. The transmission channel is primarily through energy-driven import inflation and global risk sentiment affecting commodity-linked currencies. Traders will watch the upcoming BOJ meeting minutes and global crude oil inventories for signals on whether this inflation uptick will prompt a shift in forward guidance.

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