LEBANON'S HEZBOLLAH SAYS IT HAS FIRED ROCKET SALVO AT ISRAEL'S SHTULA IN RESPONSE TO ISRAEL 'VIOLATING CEASEFIRE AND TARGETING TOWN IN SOUTHERN LEBANON'

Hezbollah reported launching a rocket salvo at Israel's Shtula following Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon, marking an escalation in cross-border hostilities despite prior ceasefire understandings. The renewed violence impacts regional risk appetite and heightens concerns over supply disruption and military spillover in the eastern Mediterranean, a corridor for energy and trade flows. Israeli sovereign bonds and equities, particularly defense and infrastructure-related sectors, face downward pressure, while broader Middle East equity markets see increased volatility amid repricing of geopolitical risk. Traders will closely monitor the IDF's response and any statements from U.S. or UN officials regarding ceasefire enforcement, as further escalations could trigger broader regional involvement and affect oil shipping lanes. The next key catalyst will be the scheduled UN Security Council briefing on the Lebanon-Israel border situation, set for Thursday.

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