OIL PRICES UP 2% AS US-IRAN DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS CONTINUE TO STALL.

Oil prices rose 2% as stalled diplomatic efforts between the U.S. and Iran heightened concerns over potential supply disruptions from the Persian Gulf. The market is pricing in increased geopolitical risk, with tensions raising the likelihood of sanctions or regional instability affecting Iranian crude exports. This repricing is primarily impacting Brent crude due to its greater sensitivity to Middle Eastern supply shocks, while Iranian oil infrastructure and export channels face renewed scrutiny. Traders are focusing on the upcoming International Energy Agency (IEA) monthly report, which will provide updated assessments on global supply balances and Iranian production levels. Any indication of declining Iranian output or tighter spare capacity could further support upward pressure on prices.

Crude oil (WTI/Brent) reacts in real time to OPEC+ production decisions, EIA weekly inventory reports, geopolitical supply disruptions (Middle East, Russia, Venezuela) and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve announcements. A 5% intraday move on breaking news is not unusual.

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