*TRUMP: DON'T KNOW IF IRAN IS DROPPING MINES *TRUMP: MINES IN HORMUZ WILL AFFECT IRAN MORE THAN US

Trump's comments on potential mine-laying by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz highlight renewed geopolitical tensions in a critical oil transit chokepoint, though he downplayed direct U.S. impact. The remarks triggered risk-off sentiment in energy markets, with Brent crude futures rising on supply disruption fears, while shipping and insurance premiums for vessels transiting the strait saw immediate upward pressure. The primary transmission channel is supply disruption risk, affecting global oil flows given that about 20% of global crude passes through Hormuz. Iranian assets, already under sanctions, face added downward pressure from perceived escalation risks, while U.S. energy equities and defense stocks may see relative outperformance on heightened military posture expectations. Traders will watch for any follow-up from CENTCOM or shipping intelligence reports on vessel incidents in the Gulf as a near-term catalyst.

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