Iranian media outlet Iran International reported speculation that Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf could be replaced by Saeed Jalili as head of Iran’s nuclear negotiating delegation, with Abbas Araghchi also positioning for influence. If realized, a shift toward Jalili—a hardliner skeptical of concessions—would likely reduce the near-term probability of reviving the JCPOA, tightening expectations around future oil supply normalization. This development weighs on sentiment for Iranian risk premia, particularly affecting the pricing of sanctions-linked oil cargoes and regional geopolitical hedges. International energy traders and EM sovereign bond desks are monitoring for any official confirmation, which could recalibrate compliance and shipping risk assessments. The next key catalyst will be Iran’s official delegation announcement ahead of the upcoming Vienna talks.
ACCORDING TO IRAN INTERNATIONAL'S INFORMATION, THE POSSIBILITY OF REPLACING MOHAMMAD BAGHER GHALIBAF WITH SAEED JALILI AT THE HEAD OF THE NEGOTIATING DELEGATION HAS BEEN RAISED, AND ABBAS ARAGHCHI IS ALSO TRYING TO TAKE…
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