US-Iran war live updates: Peace talks in Pakistan collapse as Trump cancels envoy trip; Israel-Lebanon ceasefire shaky amid strikes

Peace talks between the U.S. and Iran in Pakistan collapsed after President Trump abruptly canceled his envoy’s trip, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The breakdown in diplomacy, coupled with renewed strikes along the Israel-Lebanon border, has increased risk premiums in energy and equity markets, particularly affecting regional exposure and defense and energy sector equities. Heightened instability threatens oil supply routes through the Strait of Hormuz, tightening crude differentials and boosting Brent and WTI futures, while safe-haven demand lifts Treasury yields and gold. Investors are pricing in broader conflict risk, with emerging market debt and Gulf-based equities seeing outflows due to contagion fears. Traders will watch the next U.S. Iran sanctions enforcement actions and any shift in IDF operational posture in southern Lebanon as key near-term catalysts.

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