OIL PRICES SURGE OVER 1% AT MONDAY'S OPEN AS US-IRAN PEACE TALKS STALL

Oil prices rose more than 1% at Monday's open as renewed geopolitical tensions emerged following stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks, which had previously raised hopes for increased crude supply. The breakdown in negotiations limits near-term prospects for sanctions relief on Iranian oil exports, tightening the global supply outlook and reinforcing upward pressure on prices. This supply-side risk has disproportionately impacted Brent crude futures, which are more sensitive to Middle East disruptions, while energy equities with exposure to geopolitical risk premia also saw buying interest. Traders are now focused on the upcoming EIA weekly inventory report and any updates on diplomatic developments in the Strait of Hormuz region.

Crude oil (WTI/Brent) reacts in real time to OPEC+ production decisions, EIA weekly inventory reports, geopolitical supply disruptions (Middle East, Russia, Venezuela) and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve announcements. A 5% intraday move on breaking news is not unusual.

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