This week: Wednesday's Fed day features Powell's last press conference

The Federal Reserve is set to conclude its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday, with Chair Jerome Powell delivering his final press conference in the role before his term ends. Markets are focused on the central bank's updated economic projections and any signals regarding the pace of future rate cuts, particularly given recent resilience in inflation and labor data. The event will influence Treasury yields and the dollar through shifts in rate-differential expectations, with longer-dated U.S. yields especially sensitive to any hawkish tilt. Equities and rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and technology may face volatility depending on Powell’s tone around policy patience. Traders will closely watch the Fed’s revised dot plot and Powell’s comments on balance sheet normalization as the next concrete catalyst for directional moves in U.S. interest rate futures.

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