SWEDEN (Q1) GDP Indicator SA QoQ ACTUAL: -0.2% VS 0.2% PREVIOUS;EST 0.2%

Sweden's Q1 GDP declined by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in seasonally adjusted terms, reversing the previous quarter's 0.2% growth and missing estimates of 0.2% expansion. The contraction signals weakening domestic demand and reduced economic momentum, which may prompt reassessment of near-term growth expectations and influence Riksbank policy assumptions. This negative print increases sensitivity to upcoming inflation and labor market data, as diminished growth could limit the central bank's ability to maintain a hawkish stance amid persistent inflationary pressures. The Swedish krona and short-term rate futures are particularly exposed, with traders now pricing in diminished confidence for further rate hikes. Market focus will shift to the May inflation report, expected to clarify whether the Riksbank retains room to tighten policy despite the shrinking economy.

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