Gold Holds Losses on Signs That US-Iran Ceasefire Is Fraying

Gold extended losses as renewed tensions between the U.S. and Iran undermined earlier safe-haven demand, erasing gains prompted by prior ceasefire optimism. The decline reflects shifting risk appetite driven by geopolitical risk repricing, with investors scaling back bets on prolonged de-escalation in the Middle East. Precious metals, particularly gold, are sensitive to changes in global stability expectations, while Iranian asset proxies and regional risk premiums face renewed volatility. Traders are now focused on the next U.S. Treasury sanctions update, expected within the week, which could confirm or alleviate concerns over escalating military posturing.

Gold (XAU/USD) is a safe-haven asset and inflation hedge. Major drivers include Fed policy (real yields), central bank buying (PBOC, RBI), ETF flows, and geopolitical risk. Gold often moves inversely to DXY and real US yields.

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