President Xi Jinping reportedly invoked the "Thucydides Trap" in discussions with then-President Trump, emphasizing the shared responsibility of the U.S. and China in managing their bilateral relationship. This framing suggests a recognition of the inherent risks of conflict when an emerging power challenges an established one, impacting global risk appetite and long-term capital flows. Assets most exposed include Chinese equities (e.g., CSI 300, H-shares) and U.S. multinational corporations with significant China exposure, as the stability of this relationship directly influences trade policy, investment flows, and geopolitical risk premiums. Traders will closely monitor any official statements from current U.S. and Chinese leadership regarding strategic competition and cooperation, particularly ahead of major diplomatic engagements or trade policy announcements.
Xi Warns Trump of Thucydides Trap in US-China Relations
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