Iran Conflict Triggers Bond Selloff, Asia Markets Under Pressure

Escalating tensions following reports of direct military conflict involving Iran have triggered a broad selloff in global bond markets, with yields surging as investors reassess geopolitical risk premiums. The repricing in rates markets is being driven by heightened safe-haven demand and fears of supply-side disruptions in energy markets, which could reignite inflation pressures amid already tight central bank stances. Asian credit and duration-sensitive government bonds are particularly vulnerable, given regional exposure to shipping chokepoints and trade flows that may be disrupted by conflict in the Persian Gulf. The sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields is amplifying capital outflows from emerging markets, with Iranian proxy activity in the Strait of Hormuz serving as a key flashpoint. Traders are now closely watching the next U.S. CPI print and any statements from the Federal Reserve on how geopolitical risks may influence the path of rate cuts.

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