Treasury Extends Russian Oil Waiver Amid Hormuz Supply Crisis

The U.S. Treasury has extended sanctions waivers allowing limited Russian oil transactions to continue, aiming to stabilize global markets amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. The dual supply risks—ongoing Russian export constraints and heightened disruption threats in a critical Middle Eastern chokepoint—are tightening physical crude availability and amplifying risk premiums. This confluence is pressuring global oil markets, particularly Brent and refined products, while also influencing dollar-denominated energy flows and compliance-driven trading behavior. The extension reflects a deliberate effort to manage price volatility without fully reintegrating Russian supply. Traders will closely watch the next OPEC+ meeting for production adjustments that could offset sustained supply tightness from both Russian and Middle Eastern sources.

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