FTSE 100 Set to Rise as Oil Prices Fall After Trump’s Decision

FTSE 100 futures are indicating a strong opening as oil prices decline following reports that former President Donald Trump called off planned military strikes, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The drop in crude prices is reducing input cost pressures for energy-sensitive sectors, supporting risk appetite and boosting equity sentiment, particularly in the UK’s heavily weighted financial and industrial stocks. Lower oil also improves the inflation outlook, potentially reinforcing expectations for dovish monetary policy from the Bank of England, which benefits yield-sensitive equities. The FTSE 100, which underperformed during the oil-driven risk-off move, is seeing renewed capital inflows as global risk appetite improves. Traders will watch the next UK CPI release for confirmation that easing energy prices are translating into softer headline inflation.

Crude oil (WTI/Brent) reacts in real time to OPEC+ production decisions, EIA weekly inventory reports, geopolitical supply disruptions (Middle East, Russia, Venezuela) and US Strategic Petroleum Reserve announcements. A 5% intraday move on breaking news is not unusual.

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