Trump’s statement that negotiations with Iran are in the “final phase” contrasts with Tehran’s warning of attacks extending beyond the Middle East, escalating geopolitical tension despite diplomatic progress. The conflicting signals are affecting risk appetite, with investors repricing regional instability through higher oil prices and elevated safe-haven demand. Energy markets and equities with exposure to the Middle East are particularly vulnerable, while defense and security-related assets may see increased capital flows. The key transmission channel is geopolitical risk impacting global supply chain and energy security expectations. Traders will watch for any official confirmation of a deal or further military posturing in the Strait of Hormuz as the next near-term catalyst.
Trump: Iran Negotiations Enter Final Phase as Tensions Rise
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