US and Iran Draft Agreement to Gradually Lift Sanctions

The US and Iran have reached a draft agreement that would lead to the gradual lifting of economic sanctions on Iran. This development signals a potential improvement in geopolitical risk and could increase global oil supply if Iranian crude exports resume incrementally. The easing of sanctions would primarily affect energy markets, particularly Brent crude futures, and could pressure OPEC+ cohesion as supply expectations shift. Iranian financial assets and shipping markets may also see renewed activity, though capital inflows will likely remain cautious pending final implementation. Traders will watch the next International Energy Agency (IEA) Oil Market Report for updates on estimated Iranian production ramp-up timelines.

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