Reports indicating progress in US-Iran negotiations, as signaled by President Trump, have spurred a rally in US Treasuries. This development primarily impacts risk appetite, as a de-escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East reduces the perceived tail risk of supply disruptions in global energy markets. Consequently, safe-haven assets like US Treasuries benefit from reduced demand for risk premium, while crude oil futures could face downward pressure due to diminished supply concerns. Traders will closely monitor official statements from both the US and Iranian governments regarding the specifics of any potential agreement, as well as the immediate reaction in crude oil benchmarks like Brent and WTI.
Treasuries Surge as Trump Hints at US-Iran Deal Progress
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