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High Impact

China Sees El Niño Effects Peaking This Autumn and Winter

📅
🏷Markets
📰via FS
✍️Edited by Luís Barata

China's CCTV reported that the country expects the impacts of El Niño to peak during the autumn and winter months of 2023. This forecast could influence agricultural output and food prices, as adverse weather conditions typically disrupt supply chains and crop yields. The market transmission mechanism here is supply disruption, which may lead to inflationary pressures if food prices rise significantly. Agricultural commodities, particularly grains and soybeans, are most exposed due to their reliance on stable weather patterns for production. Traders will be closely watching the upcoming weather reports and agricultural yield forecasts to gauge the potential impact on supply and prices.

Source: Originally reported by FS at May 29, 2026. Summary and market context by Trading News Terminal editorial.

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