Iran Warns of Long-Term Conflict With Israel, Threatens US Interests

A military source cited by the Tasnim News Agency stated that Iran is prepared for a long-term conflict with Israel and maintains the capability to strike American interests as part of its strategic defensive posture. This rhetoric heightens geopolitical risk premiums, functioning through a risk-off transmission mechanism that typically triggers a flight to safety and disrupts regional energy supply chains. Global crude oil markets and safe-haven assets like gold are most exposed to this escalation, as traders price in the potential for localized instability to evolve into a broader supply-side shock. Market participants are now shifting focus toward the upcoming release of U.S. Department of Energy inventory data and any subsequent diplomatic statements from the White House regarding regional military deployments. These developments remain critical for assessing the duration and intensity of the current risk-aversion cycle across global commodity and currency markets.

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