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High Impact

Israel Q1 GDP revised to -1.5% annualized from -1.7%, statistics bureau

📅
🏷Markets
📰via FS
✍️Edited by Luís Barata

Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics revised its first-quarter GDP estimate to a contraction of 1.5% annualized, narrowing the decline from the previously reported 1.7%. The upward revision slightly reduces the downside surprise in the national accounts, though the economy still shrank in the period. The mechanism at work is growth expectations feeding into the shekel and sovereign rate pricing: a smaller contraction trims the case for aggressive policy easing by the Bank of Israel and can modestly support the currency through rate differentials. Israeli government bonds and shekel-denominated assets are the most directly exposed, while equity sectors tied to domestic consumption and construction would be more sensitive to any shift in growth outlook. The next catalyst for traders is the second-quarter GDP flash estimate and the Bank of Israel's subsequent rate decision, which will indicate whether the revised contraction changes the central bank's easing path.

Source: Originally reported by FS at October 18, 2026. Summary and market context by Trading News Terminal editorial.

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