RBA’S KENT SAYS GLOBAL GROWTH HAS HELD UP BETTER THAN MOST HAD THOUGHT, AND MARKETS SEE LONG-TERM CPI EXPECTATIONS AS WELL ANCHORED

Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Christopher Kent said global growth has held up better than most had expected, and that market-based measures show long-term inflation expectations remaining well anchored. The message points to a resilient external demand backdrop alongside limited evidence of de-anchoring in inflation compensation. For rates markets, firm growth paired with stable long-dated inflation expectations reduces the case for pricing aggressive policy easing, keeping the front end sensitive to domestic activity and labour data. Australian government bonds and the Australian dollar are the most directly exposed, since the RBA's rate path shapes the yield differential against US Treasuries, while export-linked equities gain support from steadier global demand. Traders should watch the upcoming Australian quarterly CPI release and the next RBA Statement on Monetary Policy for any revision to the central bank's inflation and growth forecasts.

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