China’s Q3 GDP growth accelerates to 4.5%, beating forecast

China's third-quarter GDP expanded 4.5% year on year, ahead of consensus expectations and marking an acceleration from the prior quarter. The upside surprise tightens the link between Chinese activity data and global cyclical assets, since stronger domestic demand lifts expectations for commodity imports, particularly industrial metals such as copper and iron ore, and supports Asia-Pacific equities with heavy revenue exposure to Chinese consumers. Currency markets may also reprice: a firmer growth outlook reduces pressure on policymakers to ease aggressively, which can narrow the rate differential that has weighed on the yuan and support offshore CNH pricing. Traders will focus on the next monthly industrial output, retail sales, and fixed-asset investment prints, as well as any signals from Beijing on stimulus pace, to judge whether the quarterly beat reflects durable momentum or a one-off lift.

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