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High Impact

BOJ seen lifting rates to 1.50% in December as 69% of economists expect a Q4 hike

📅
🏷Markets
📰via ForexLive
✍️Edited by Luís Barata
No specific asset tagged

A majority of economists surveyed, 69% by the reported figure, now expect the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate to 1.50% in December, with a hike anticipated sometime in the fourth quarter. The primary transmission channel is the interest rate differential between Japan and other major economies: a narrowing gap tends to support the yen by reducing the appeal of carry trades that borrow in low-yielding yen to fund higher-yielding assets abroad. Japanese government bonds and the yen are the most directly exposed, since repricing of BOJ tightening expectations feeds into JGB yields and currency valuations, while global equities and emerging-market currencies could see second-order effects if carry unwinds accelerate. The next catalyst traders will watch is the BOJ's policy meeting in December, alongside incoming Japanese inflation and wage data that will determine whether the hike consensus firms or fades.

Source: Originally reported by ForexLive at October 20, 2026. Summary and market context by Trading News Terminal editorial.

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