*IRAN-US TALKS CONTINUE, REPORTS DEAL IS CLOSE ARE WRONG: PERSON

Iran-US talks are continuing, according to a source identified only as "Person," who said reports that a deal is close are inaccurate. The headline does not specify the scope of negotiations or the issues in dispute, so the market-relevant content is the denial of near-term progress rather than any substantive terms. Such a denial typically transmits through risk premia rather than fundamentals: it trims the probability of a near-term sanctions easing or de-escalation that some traders had priced in, which would most directly affect Iranian crude supply expectations and, by extension, Brent and regional sovereign and energy-linked assets. Oil-sensitive instruments and Gulf-exposed equities are the most exposed channels, with the size of any move dependent on how much a prior deal-close narrative had already been built into positioning. The next concrete catalyst to watch is any official statement from Washington or Tehran confirming or contradicting the source, along with weekly EIA crude inventory data, which will show whether supply-side sentiment is translating into physical market tightness.

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