SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO CLOSE TO INDIA TRADE DEAL, SMALL NUMBER OF ITEMS LEFT; SPOKE TO ZELENSKYY TODAY; PENTAGON HAS NOT CHANGED ANYTHING ON UKRAINE POLICY;NOTHING HAS CHANGED ON INTELLIGENCE SHARING WITH UKRAINE

Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly said a US-India trade deal is close, with only a small number of items remaining to be resolved. He also spoke with Ukrainian President Zelensky that day, and the headline states that the Pentagon has made no change to Ukraine policy and that intelligence sharing with Ukraine is unchanged. The trade-deal development bears on capital flows and risk appetite, since a finalized agreement would tend to support Indian equities and the rupee through improved expectations for tariff relief and export access. Indian equities, the rupee, and export-oriented sectors such as textiles, electronics, and pharmaceuticals would be most sensitive to any progress on the remaining items. On the Ukraine side, the unchanged posture limits near-term repricing in defense and geopolitical risk premia, keeping pressure on Eastern European assets and European energy markets largely unchanged. Traders should watch for the official joint statement or text release on the India agreement, which would confirm the scope of the remaining items and the timing of implementation.

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