A breakthrough deal between the US and Iran could be announced as soon as this week, sources familiar with the mediation efforts told Al-Araby Al-Jadeed. Read more:

Sources familiar with mediation efforts told Al-Araby Al-Jadeed that a breakthrough agreement between the United States and Iran could be announced as early as this week. The transmission channel here runs mainly through geopolitical risk premia and energy supply expectations: a credible de-escalation deal would tend to compress the risk premium embedded in crude oil and tanker freight rates, while easing fears of disruption through the Strait of Hormuz. Assets most exposed include Brent and WTI crude, Gulf-linked equities and sovereign debt, and shipping and insurance names, with Iran-linked instruments likely to reprice most sharply on any confirmed terms. Traders should watch for official confirmation from Washington or Tehran and the subsequent weekly EIA crude inventory report, which will show whether any anticipated supply-side easing is already reflected in flows.

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